Topic · 22 pieces
Rates & inflation
The Bank of Canada, the Fed and the bond market, and what each move does to a mortgage, a GIC and a business loan.
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · Morning BriefAlbertans voted roughly 76% to 24% to remain in Canada, and the Bank of Canada’s business and consumer surveys show inflation expectations rising nine days before the 28 October rate decision.
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · Morning BriefU.S. CPI rose 3.7% in the year to September, up from 3.4% in August, with gasoline up 34.2% and accounting for more than half of the monthly increase.
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · Morning BriefCanada lost 68,300 jobs in September, a second straight monthly decline, and the unemployment rate rose to 6.5%, against a Reuters consensus for a gain of 9,200.
Wed 7 Oct 2026 · Morning BriefCanada’s merchandise trade surplus widened to $4.2 billion in August from $787 million in July, with exports to the United States up 8.1% ahead of the 50% US tariffs that took effect on 22 August.
Fri 25 Sep 2026 · Morning BriefThe Government of Canada 5-year bond yield closed at 3.69% on Thursday, its highest of the year, with the 10-year at 3.97%, as the U.S. 10-year Treasury moved past 5.2% and Fed Governor Barr said further tightening is likely.
Thu 24 Sep 2026 · Morning BriefThe U.S. 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.39% on Wednesday, its highest since 2004, after the strongest U.S. business survey in five years, and the Government of Canada 10-year followed to about 3.86% while the TSX fell 584 points and the dollar slipped to 70.94 U.S. cents.
Wed 23 Sep 2026 · Morning BriefBank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said on Monday that the latest U.S. tariffs, which cover about 5% of Canada’s goods exports to the United States, could cut fourth-quarter growth to below 1%, while inflation sits near 3% on fuel prices.
Fri 11 Sep 2026 · Morning BriefU.S. consumer prices rose 3.4% in the year to August with core inflation up 0.3% in the month, and futures now price about an 86% chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike on 16 September.
Thu 10 Sep 2026 · Morning BriefBrent crude closed near US$101 a barrel on 9 September, its first close above US$100 since July, and this morning the European Central Bank raised rates by 25 basis points while U.S. producer prices came in at 5.4% over the year.
Wed 9 Sep 2026 · Morning BriefCanada’s counter-tariffs on $27.6 billion of U.S. goods took effect on Monday, the same week oil returned to US$97 and markets moved to a 60% chance of a U.S. rate hike on 16 September.When the news moves, the effects reach your own plans.
A change in rates, prices or markets touches your borrowing, your savings and your business. We can review where you are most exposed and what, if anything, to adjust.
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All information in this material is as of 4 November 2026 unless otherwise indicated. Market figures shown in the live rails are supplied by the sources named beneath them and may be delayed.
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